http://blog.bissantz.com/attribution Bissantz ponders Mon, 05 Jul 2010 13:53:30 +0200 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 http://blog.bissantz.com/attribution/comment-page-1#comment-13918 Matt Mon, 10 Aug 2009 20:02:18 +0000 http://blog.bissantz.com/?p=790#comment-13918 I have been contemplating this same topic. Verbal descriptions can be misleading, even among people of the same background. For another data set exploring this issue see Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards Heuer. Figure 18 of Chapter 12 compares several statements of probability against what various people thought they meant. The terms, probable, probably and likely are particularly interesting. I have been contemplating this same topic. Verbal descriptions can be misleading, even among people of the same background. For another data set exploring this issue see Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards Heuer. Figure 18 of Chapter 12 compares several statements of probability against what various people thought they meant. The terms, probable, probably and likely are particularly interesting.

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